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23 September 2011

The Friday Night Question, as chosen from The Book Of Questions...[More:]

#178: You are leading 100 people whose lives are in danger and you must choose between two courses of action. One would only save 90 people; the other would have a 50 percent chance of saving everyone, but were it to fail everyone would die. Which would you choose?*


*This question has a follow-up in the back of the book: What if you had to choose the 10 people who would die? Would you rather have someone else in the group make the decision even though you might be picked to die?
If it was totally outside your abilitiy, just a coin toss, I'm pretty sure human psychology would work out and you'd get ten volunteers without asking.
posted by The Whelk 23 September | 18:12
Is there any option with a 100% chance of killing all 100 people?

Signed,
A. Misanthrope
posted by Eideteker 23 September | 18:44
Did your date not go well?
posted by The Whelk 23 September | 18:53
I'd take the first option, to save 90 people. Not only would my chances of survival be better, so would everybody else's. If I had to choose, I would choose nine other people and myself, because I don't think anyone should have to live with that decision.
posted by Hugh Janus 23 September | 18:59
What Hugh said, except that I would ask for nine volunteers to die with me. Like The Whelk said, I don't think it would be difficult to get the nine volunteers out of 99 people.
posted by deborah 23 September | 19:19
I'd go with the 90 lives saved. I'd select them myself. I would hate myself forever, but being cowardly alive is better than being bravely dead.

I wouldn't put that burden on someone else; it would be mine.
posted by punchtothehead 23 September | 19:58
My gut says choice one. As far as the follow-up, I wouldn't be able to make that decision now. Back in highschool, I was in an internship program where we were set up in groups of six people. There was a similar kind of test. I was the leader of the group. We had to decide something like, "You have 20 people that have to go to a bomb shelter built for 15. If all 20 or any number above 15 enter the shelter, you will all eventually die.' Then we were given descriptions of each person. After a heated discussion, I convinced the group to pick 5 people. We were the first group to finish. And we ended up completely agreeing on the people to leave behind. The other groups kept arguing until the co-ordinator called time.

I guess my point is that I was a bit cold-blooded about the whole thing. But I was just 16 years old and rather pragmatic.

These days I have a different world view.

posted by Splunge 23 September | 20:10

I'd take the first option, to save 90 people. Not only would my chances of survival be better, so would everybody else's. If I had to choose, I would choose nine other people and myself, because I don't think anyone should have to live with that decision.
posted by Hugh Janus


Exactly this. Why do I always end up agreeing with Hugh Janus? In another lifetime, I think we might have been soulmates.....
posted by msali 23 September | 22:13
I'd gamble. I might even go for smaller odds if i had a shot at saving everyone.

I'd do the picking for a sacrifice too. I can't imagine why I wouldn't select myself if that gave the survivors a better chance at living.

I'm a wimp about how I die, not whether I do, particularly if other lives would be saved.
posted by bearwife 23 September | 23:57
The 90 youngest (just because they've gotten to live the least). If I fell in that group, so be it.
posted by Pips 24 September | 11:38
(Or a lottery -- pick 90 names. Seems fair.)
posted by Pips 24 September | 11:40
I'd probably take a vote, but I think I'd vote for the all-or-nothing route. The thought of leaving 10 people (or 9 people plus me) to just wait around and die without giving them a chance to fight seems really wrong to me.
posted by occhiblu 24 September | 15:09
I'd want to gamble.

Because 50% is a pretty good chance.
posted by jason's_planet 24 September | 20:34
I'm going to go with the 90% because that's passing.
posted by cjorgensen 24 September | 22:26
When has the time come to stop looking for something you may have never owned? || Watch more than 1600 documentaries.

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